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Friday, April 6, 2012

postheadericon Nuclear non-proliferation in the Middle East: why not now?

When it comes to nuclear non-proliferation, the Middle East has somehow fallen between the cracks. On the one hand, Iran (a party to the 1970 Non-Proliferation Treaty) may or may not be weaponizing its nuclear material. On the other hand, Israel (a non-party to the NPT) may or may not possess a stockpile of between 250 and 500 nuclear weapons.  

Israel’s distrust of Iranian intentions has heightened the prospect of a preemptive strike on Iran’s nuclear sites. Meanwhile, U.S. military experts say such an attack would lead to “a wider regional war, which could draw in the United States.” While Israel successfully managed a surgical strike on Iraq’s  Osirak nuclear plant in 1981, it would be hard pressed to contain attacks on Iran’s geographically separated nuclear sites. 

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