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Monday, November 1, 2010

postheadericon Final pre-election polls unanimously show big GOP advantage

Republicans enjoy a wide margin of support from likely voters that could help propel them toward winning a majority in the House, new polls suggested Monday.

A series of final, pre-election polls published Monday all unanimously reflected an advantage for the GOP going into Tuesday's elections, propelling the party's optimism that they'll pick up the net 39 seats they need to retake control of the House.

Republicans enjoy an unprecedented margin of support in the final USA Today/Gallup poll. Fifty-five percent of likely voters said they would vote for a generic Republican candidate for Congress, compared to 40 percent who support Democrats, and with five percent undecided.

Forty-nine percent of likely voters generally prefer a Rep! ublican candidate, according to the last NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll, while 43 percent expressed support for Democrats, and eight percent were undecided.

And 49 percent of likely voters said they support Republicans going into Nov 2., while 45 percent said they'd prefer to back a Democrat, according to Monday's poll by ABC News and the Washington Post.

The polls in part forecast the kind of Republican victories on Tuesday that most political observers have talked about, with increasing confidence. Democrats have be! en working to hold together their House and Senate majorities ! with fur ious efforts to bolster turnout in key races, and President Obama spent the weekend stumping for candidates across the country.

The polls suggest, though, that voters are also frustrated at their own representatives in Congress. While voters express a preference nationally for an unnamed Republican over an unnamed Democrat, half say their own lawmaker doesn't deserve re-election.

Fifty-one percent of registered voters in the NBC/WSJ poll said it was time for someone new in their own district, while 37 percent said their own representative deserves re-election. Similarly, 50 percent of registered voters in the ABC/WP said they would look around to support a new candidate, while 32 percent said that they would vote to send their own representative back to Washington again.

Democrats who are hoping to stave off a massive GOP wave might also find it difficult to motivate their supporters to turn out on Tuesday, especially considering that over! half of voters expect Republicans to control Congress when all's said and done on Tuesday night.

Fifty-one percent of registered voters said in the final CNN/Opinion Research poll they expect Republicans to control Congress next year, while 36 percent expect Democrats to stay in charge. Just eight percent said they expect split control of Congress.

The Gallup poll, conducted Oct. 28-31, has a four percent margin of error for likely voters. The NBC/Wall Street Journal poll was conducted Oct. 28-30 and has a 3.1 percent margin of error. The ABC News/Washington Post poll was conducted Oct. 25-28 and has a three percent margin of error. And the CNN/Opinion Research poll, conducted Oct. 27-30, has a three percent margin of error.

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